Odds

Economy

Recession odds climb on Wall Street as economy shows cracks beneath the surface

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week pushed back when asked whether stagflation posed a threat to the U.S. economy.

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Economy

UK inflation cools markedly in January, boosting odds of Bank of England rate cut

A customer looks at goods on a shelf in a supermarket on January 15, 2025 in London, England. Dan Kitwood

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Economy

Trump tells Hassett he wants to keep him where he is; Warsh Fed chair odds jump

President Donald Trump on Friday said he’d prefer to keep National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett in his position as

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Finance

Prediction market traders slash odds Trump tariffs survive Supreme Court ruling

A protester with the Main Street Alliance holds a sign outside the U.S. Supreme Court, as its justices are set

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Politics

White House: Odds of tariff-related inflation are low, like ‘pandemics or meteors’

A top White House economic advisor on Tuesday likened the odds that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will lead to higher

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